So far we have made a killing betting on the preseason games. Let’s have a look at the NFL odds and find a couple of games that we can make some more preseason dough from.
The Oakland Raiders vs. The Seattle Seahawks
The Raiders and Seahawks have a storied history. Not only as former AFC West foes but in the preseason as well. The Seahawks and Raiders have made it somewhat of a tradition to play each other every August.
Jon Gruden loves winning in Week 1 and Week 4 of preseason play. Pete Carroll can be fairly aggressive in Week 4 as well, but not like Gruden. In fact, Jon Gruden and the Raiders came up to the Emerald City and beat the Seahawks last season during Week 4’s exhibition match. So why is this game first on our list of Week 4 games? Well, because Oakland has been listed as 2.5-point underdogs in Seattle and we think that the Raiders are going to win outright.
Week 4 is no longer about starters shaking the rust off before the first official game, it’s about coaches assessing who will stay on the roster, who’ll make the practice squad, and who gets cut. So, it can be pretty difficult to handicap these games. The best thing to do is look at the coaching trends. Well, folks, the trend here points to Jon Gruden is 7-1 in the final preseason game of the year.
Pete Carroll is no slouch in Week 4 either. Over his nine-year tenure, he is 6-3 during the last week of August. And the fact that Jon Gruden beat him last year might be something that is stuck in his craw. That said, the Seahawks just got a solid win over the Los Angeles Chargers, so he may be satiated enough to focus less on winning and more on player assessment.
Sure, this is going to be a battle of the depth chart … but both of these coaches want to win. Seattle has the home field advantage and Pete Carroll will want to put up a few points for the fans, but I still have a feeling that Jon Gruden’s ego is bigger and the win means more to him.
That’s why we are taking the Raiders +2.5. Even if the Seahawks win, the Raiders will do everything they can to keep it close. This could end up a one-point game. If you are afraid of the spread, Take OVER 33 points, as there will be scoring during this 10 PM ET game.
The Minnesota Vikings vs. Buffalo Bills
The Vikings are heading into Buffalo New York as 3-point road favorites. Both teams have laid it all on the line this preseason, each so far undefeated. Sean McDermott is 3-0 so far this preseason and he is also 2-0 during Week 4 over the last two seasons, so he has set a winning trend in late August. Mike Zimmer is just 3-2 in Week 4, but he’s 3-0 this season and an astounding 20-4 overall in his last 24 preseason games. We have to think that he is going to try and close out the season undefeated. Now, this is a tough one because you have two coaches who are trying to win the final preseason game of the season. However, this is why we included this game … it should be a blast to watch.
We Lean for Minnesota to cover the -2.5 spread.
The Baltimore Ravens at The Washington Redskins
John Harbaugh is 36 and 12 in his preseason career. But more impressive is the fact that they have won 16 straight pre-season games and covered the point-spread in 14 of them. Jay Gruden is 3-2 during Week 4 preseason play, so he does get aggressive, that said, he’s not nearly as driven to win preseason games as Coach Harbaugh.
The Ravens hare the longest favorites on the board at -6 at most shops and as high as -7 at some. But you can still find them at -5.5 at Pinnacle. They also haven’t scored less than 26 points per game this preseason so if you add a bit of competitive spirit from the Redskins, that 33.5 point total looks like one that has value on the OVER.
Take the Ravens -5.5 (if you’re afraid of the number, take the money line on -238) and take OVER 33.5