For those of you who remember my Magnum Start Theory (MST) study of 2016 and 2017, I teased there would be more large scale combimetrics articles on the way. With that said it is time to unveil the analysis from ’14 and ’15, so let’s take a look at who scored well in MST from those two seasons!

Team/Record/MST Total

2014 American League

Baltimore: 96-66/ -9.13

New York Yankees: 84-78/ 0.81

Toronto: 83-79/ -6.84

Tampa Bay: 77-85/ 3.04

Boston: 71-91/ 4.32

 

Detroit: 90-72/ -6.99

Kansas City: 89-73/ 1.76

Cleveland: 85-77/ 5.17

Chicago White Sox: 73-89/ 6.41

Minnesota: 70-92/ 0.32

 

Los Angeles Angels: 98-64/ -15.74

Oakland: 88-74/ -1.44

Seattle: 87-75/ -3.08

Houston: 70-92/ 9.16

Texas: 67-95/ 9.41

All three division winners were among the league’s best, however Toronto posted a solid score even though failed to make the postseason. An intriguing part to this study would be Kansas City, mostly because they were driven down by errors even though they were an excellent defensive team that season (Royals scored a +1.76). On top of that, the Twins were a +0.32 with a 70-92 record. Not a bad total for a team with an excess of 90 losses.

2015 American League

 

Toronto: 93-69/ -18.03

New York Yankees: 87-75/ -6.11

Baltimore: 81-81/ -5.31

Tampa Bay: 80-82/ 5.29

Boston: 78-84/ -0.98

 

Kansas City: 95-67/ -6.65

Minnesota: 83-79/ -1.95

Cleveland: 81-80/ -1.29

Chicago White Sox: 76-86/ 9.77

Detroit: 74-87/ 1.03

 

Texas: 88-74/ 2.64

Houston: 86-76/ -5.44

Los Angeles Angels: 85-77/ 2.1

Seattle: 76-86/ 5.24

Oakland: 68-94/ 14.32

Fast forward one year, and it seems as though the pecking order re-established itself somewhat. While there are some teams that are not in line with their record (Texas, Boston, and Detroit) the rest of the league seemed as though it followed order to a great degree. Toronto’s score was other worldly, mostly because of a potent offense while the junior circuit’s worst team (Oakland) scored horribly (+14.32) due to poor performance all-around.

2014 National League

 

Washington: 96-66/ -6.52

New York Mets: 79-83/ 3.44

Atlanta: 79-83/ 1.74

Miami: 77-85/ 0.74

Philadelphia: 73-89/ -0.5

 

St. Louis: 90-72/ -3.68

Pittsburgh: 88-74/ -1.33

Milwaukee: 82-80/ -0.39

Cincinnati: 76-86/ -3

Chicago: Cubs: 73-89/ 5.86

 

Los Angeles Dodgers: 94-68/ -6.15

San Francisco: 88-74/ -2.82

San Diego: 77-85/ 9.8

Colorado: 66-96/ -1.39

Arizona: 64-98/ 7.67

In 2014 you will find some scores that are a touch off base, mostly due to profound excellence by the Reds and Rockies in individual areas despite their poor seasons. Regardless the three top scores belong to the top three clubs which is good, not to mention the D-Backs and Cubs posted two of the three worst (Padres scored 9.8 but keep in mind the ballpark they play in). Another good sign would be that all five playoff teams scored below zero (negative is good, positive is bad in MST), which indicates that better teams will be easier to win on altogether, not just when one starter is throwing.

2015 National League

 

New York Mets: 90-72/ -5.79

Washington: 83-79/ -4.69

Miami: 71-91/ 1.14

Atlanta: 67-95/ 8.99

Philadelphia: 63-99/ 14.41

 

St. Louis Cardinals: 100-62/ -3.57

Pittsburgh: 98-64/ 1.21

Chicago Cubs: 97-65/ -1.24

Milwaukee: 68-94/ 10.67

Cincinnati: 64-98/ 5.04

 

Los Angeles Dodgers: 92-70/ -9.1

San Francisco: 84-78/ -8.07

Arizona: 79-83/ -6.01

San Diego: 74-88/ 3.97

Colorado: 68-94/ -1.49

This season’s MST scores came out a bit strange, especially when you look at the three top teams (St. Louis, Pittsburgh, and Chicago). Both the Pirates and Cubs performed poorly in individual areas, not to mention St. Louis had a dominant pitching staff the season but did not score a significant amount of runs. That puts even the D-Backs and Rockies ahead of both Wild Card teams, one of which (Chicago) made it to the NLCS.

Before we wrap it, I have to reiterate the fact that MST is to be used as a guideline when analyzing Magnum Start Value (MSV). Think of a tour guide, that person is there to help you understand what you are seeing on that journey, not coerce your mind into an opinion of everything he or she shows you. So in other words, it is where “guidance analytics” evolved from.

All in all, expect at least a couple MSV studies using this as a guideline. Who I am going to analyze has yet to be determined, however there is a distinct purpose for why I will delve into the numbers of the pitchers I do. These next several studies are to prove a point, not just add up MSV totals. So stick around, much more to come.

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